Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.001572 0.001732 0.001894 0.002067 0.002248 0.002432 0.002630
2025-01-12 0.001299 0.001540 0.001791 0.002069 0.002367 0.002675 0.003016
2025-01-19 0.001070 0.001366 0.001684 0.002047 0.002444 0.002863 0.003335
2025-01-26 0.000909 0.001248 0.001622 0.002059 0.002547 0.003071 0.003669
2025-02-02 0.000778 0.001148 0.001569 0.002071 0.002642 0.003262 0.003978
2025-02-09 0.000699 0.001099 0.001566 0.002133 0.002786 0.003503 0.004339
2025-02-16 0.000656 0.001088 0.001604 0.002238 0.002977 0.003794 0.004751
2025-02-23 0.000519 0.000946 0.001475 0.002141 0.002929 0.003811 0.004855
2025-03-02 0.000422 0.000847 0.001391 0.002090 0.002930 0.003880 0.005012
2025-03-09 0.000358 0.000785 0.001349 0.002086 0.002982 0.004004 0.005229
2025-03-16 0.000316 0.000751 0.001338 0.002118 0.003076 0.004174 0.005497
2025-03-23 0.000284 0.000726 0.001339 0.002163 0.003182 0.004358 0.005780
2025-03-30 0.000247 0.000692 0.001326 0.002193 0.003274 0.004528 0.006053
2025-04-06 0.000204 0.000644 0.001294 0.002196 0.003333 0.004660 0.006281
2025-04-13 0.000160 0.000587 0.001244 0.002174 0.003359 0.004753 0.006464
2025-04-20 0.000131 0.000551 0.001222 0.002187 0.003427 0.004895 0.006703
2025-04-27 0.000106 0.000518 0.001202 0.002199 0.003494 0.005033 0.006937
2025-05-04 0.000094 0.000511 0.001219 0.002263 0.003623 0.005247 0.007259
2025-05-11 0.000093 0.000526 0.001270 0.002371 0.003810 0.005529 0.007660
2025-05-18 0.000055 0.000446 0.001170 0.002271 0.003730 0.005489 0.007683
2025-05-25 0.000032 0.000392 0.001107 0.002219 0.003710 0.005519 0.007787
2025-06-01 0.000020 0.000362 0.001080 0.002215 0.003750 0.005621 0.007974
2025-06-08 0.000014 0.000348 0.001079 0.002248 0.003838 0.005782 0.008231